Prediction Markets
Compare live prediction-market probabilities with independent consensus estimates from leading AI models.
Market probability reflects the current prediction-market price. CoinAugur AI consensus is an independent, model-based estimate. Probabilities are estimates, not guarantees — CoinAugur does not execute trades or bets. How this works.
OtherYes / No
Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?
No
Market
67%
AI consensus
94%
Yes
Market
33%
AI consensus
6%
5 models · 69% agreement$474.2K 24h 31 Oct 2026
OtherYes / No
Will Lamine Yamal win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?
No
Market
64%
AI consensus
63%
Yes
Market
36%
AI consensus
38%
6 models · 77% agreement$385.2K 24h 31 Oct 2026
OtherYes / No
Will LeBron James play for the Miami Heat in 2026-27?
No
Market
51%
AI consensus
94%
Yes
Market
49%
AI consensus
6%
6 models · 55% agreement$293.3K 24h 31 Oct 2026
OtherYes / No
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the July 2026 meeting?
No
Market
100%
AI consensus
97%
Yes
Market
0%
AI consensus
4%
6 models · 86% agreement$215.3K 24h 29 Jul 2026
OtherYes / No
Will LeBron James play for the Cleveland Cavaliers in 2026-27?
No
Market
69%
AI consensus
90%
Yes
Market
31%
AI consensus
10%
6 models · 62% agreement$166.5K 24h 31 Oct 2026